korza, CrowsFan keeping the lid on.

These odds are based on actual mathematical simulations. For details on how these work, check out this article, written by nick_the_insane – the brilliant guy behind this system and The League’s esteemed editor. Remember, these odds will get more accurate as we get closer to the finals

Premiership Odds

Dream Team

Another top-score sees Prospector_1 firm in the betting, while elephants slips from 2nd to 4th favourite.

$8.27 – Prospector_1 (up from $9.74)

$9.01 – Junktimer (up from $10.77)

$10.97 – Marcz (up from $10.97)

$11.34 – elephants (down from $9.83)

$11.41 – thornz23 (up from $12.19)

SuperCoach

CrowsFan enters the top 5 favourites, pushing out Maca24, after more strong performances. The bookies grow more confident with reesbr every week, and is starting to develop a gap between him and the pack.

$7.32 – reesbr (up from $7.88)

$9.20 – Junktimer (down from $8.65)

$11.14 – MTTY (down from $9.09)

$11.43 – Barlow 21 (down from $10.53)

$11.69 – CrowsFan (up from $13.37)

Falling outside the top 5 favourites:

$13.60 – Maca24 (down from $11.65)

Minor Premiership Odds

Dream Team

Two losses from elephants has seen him go form strong favourite to 2nd in the betting. Prospector_1 is now favoured to take out both the minor flag and the flag as he sits a game clear on top. Drifting outside the top 5 is browny_wce.

$3.32 – Prospector_1 (up from $5.36)

$5.64 – elephants (down from $2.72)

$6.29 – Junktimer (up from $14.18)

$8.63 – Marcz (up from $15.57)

$14.72 – CFC 1979 (up from $16.10)

Falling outside the top 5 favourites:

$23.22 – browny_wce (down from $15.75)

SuperCoach

Despite top-scoring this week and finding himself top-of-the-ladder, thornz23 is still rated only the 9th favourite for the minor premiership at the juicy odds of $41.50. The bookies believe he has a tough run home. CrowsFan, reesbr and korza have all firm after a good weekend.

$4.12 – Junktimer (down from $3.18)

$5.24 – CrowsFan (up from $9.57)

$6.11 – MTTY (down from $4.25)

$6.81 – reesbr (up from $10.92)

$12.69 – korza (up from $29.01)

Falling outside the top 5 favourites:

$40.00 – Maca24 (down from $11.04)

Wooden Spoon Odds (after finals)

Dream Team

Alex, Hilly and Shaggy all firm again after more below par results, while a string of much-improved performances has seen bunyip drift out of the top 5 favourites.

$3.37 – Alex7089 (up from $3.53)

$4.01 – HillHero13 (up from $4.69)

$7.13 – 8-6 Suited (up from $8.78)

$15.45 – benjy251090 (up from $15.83)

$18.95 – dylsta05 (down from $18.43)

Falling outside the top 5 favourites:

$22.06 – bunyip (down from $13.26)

SuperCoach

The race for the premiership spoon has really tightened up. 5 names are clearly the favourites, but which one of the 5 will win? Time will tell.

$5.90 – roo boys! (down from $5.61)

$6.05 – benjy251090 (up from $7.36)

$7.53 – pyronerd (up from $11.47)

$8.66 – hawka26 (down from $7.78)

$8.94 – HillHero13 (up from $13.06)

　

Wooden Spoon Odds (before finals)

Dream Team

Only 7 teams are rated are a better than 1001-1 chance of finishing last on the table. Alex7089 is 2 games clear on bottom of the ladder, and it seems the bookies believe only Hilly is a chance of taking this spoon away from him. Two victories to bunyip has seen his odds plummet to over $200 for the spoon.

$1.56 – Alex7089 (up from $1.66)

$3.08 – HillHero13 (up from $3.61)

$28.27 – benjy251090 (up from $30.42)

$38.97 – 8-6 Suited (up from $47.55)

$69.19 – dylsta05 (down from $68.44)

Falling outside the top 5 favourites:

$200.42 – bunyip (down from $17.76)

SuperCoach

Disappointing results from benjy and pyro, and a consistent run of form from roo boys! has seen the odds tighten again. Roo boys! is still a game clear on the bottom, but the match between him and pyro this week could decide a lot of things.

$2.68 – roo boys! (down from $2.16)

$3.18 – benjy251090 (up from $4.20)

$4.43 – pyronerd (up from $7.41)

$15.13 – HillHero13 (up from $24.50)

$32.59 – BratPack (down from $29.91)

Falling outside the top 5 favourites:

$197.10 – naste (down from $24.23)

　

Finals Odds

The odds of your team making the final 16 teams? This should give a lot of coaches some hope. In addition, the complete list of all odds is below. Note:

NA – means that out of the 100,000 simulations, it did not happen once.

Certain – A bookies’ (not necessary real) certainty to happen.

If odds are greater than 1000-1, they are rounded to an even 1001.00.

Dream Team

Coach	Premiership	Top	Spoon (bf)	Spoon (af)	Top 16
Prospector_1	8.27	3.32	NA	1001.00	Certain
Junktimer	9.01	6.29	NA	1001.00	Certain
elephants	11.34	5.64	NA	1001.00	Certain
Marcz	9.91	8.63	NA	1001.00	Certain
CFC 1979	21.10	14.72	NA	1001.00	Certain
Flame	18.42	17.69	NA	1001.00	Certain
thornz23	11.41	19.93	NA	1001.00	1.01
browny_wce	19.06	23.22	NA	1001.00	1.02
valkorum	15.72	39.95	NA	1001.00	1.04
McRooster	26.21	52.40	NA	811.97	1.09
ossie85	33.58	94.62	NA	492.23	1.14
Boomz	21.74	84.22	NA	641.89	1.17
korza	24.15	118.75	NA	405.98	1.23
MTTY	14.38	247.40	1001.00	1001.00	1.23
BratPack	40.55	1001.00	1001.00	210.18	1.85
hawka26	49.15	871.56	1001.00	155.99	1.87
Hellopplz	51.63	1001.00	1001.00	167.84	2.17
RobsOverAchieverss	212.53	1001.00	1001.00	49.87	2.97
naste	123.54	1001.00	1001.00	86.68	3.34
pyronerd	135.71	1001.00	1001.00	78.51	3.40
Cicjose	227.27	1001.00	1001.00	50.56	4.77
reesbr	339.29	1001.00	1001.00	37.80	5.32
MajorLazer	326.46	1001.00	833.33	46.05	6.70
Fletch74	411.26	1001.00	1001.00	51.69	6.78
DazBurg	673.76	NA	1001.00	46.07	8.78
chrisuzz	641.89	NA	1001.00	43.24	9.72
dylsta05	1001.00	NA	69.19	18.95	28.33
bunyip	1001.00	NA	200.42	22.06	34.68
8-6 Suited	1001.00	NA	38.97	7.13	73.08
benjy251090	1001.00	NA	28.27	15.45	74.33
HillHero13	NA	NA	3.08	4.01	1001.00
Alex7089	NA	NA	1.56	3.37	1001.00

 
SuperCoach

Coach	Premiership	Top	Spoon (bf)	Spoon (af)	Top 16
Junktimer	9.20	4.12	NA	1001.00	Certain
MTTY	11.14	6.11	NA	1001.00	Certain
reesbr	7.32	6.81	NA	1001.00	Certain
CrowsFan	11.69	5.24	NA	1001.00	Certain
korza	13.21	12.69	NA	1001.00	Certain
Barlow 21	11.43	19.15	NA	1001.00	Certain
MajorLazer	15.59	14.22	NA	1001.00	1.01
Fletch74	18.48	43.30	NA	904.76	1.04
Maca24	13.60	40.00	NA	1001.00	1.04
thornz23	31.46	41.50	NA	354.48	1.07
CFC 1979	21.44	52.34	NA	413.04	1.11
bomberboy0618/Luigi197	22.28	111.90	NA	302.55	1.19
Boomz	50.32	533.71	1001.00	99.79	1.56
BoredSaint	53.79	280.24	1001.00	60.20	1.57
DazBurg	86.68	1001.00	1001.00	55.62	1.94
Cruiseon	85.13	1001.00	1001.00	48.30	2.42
Prospector_1	61.85	1001.00	719.70	84.90	3.00
Alex7089	99.27	1001.00	950.00	52.11	3.05
RobsOverAchieverss	242.97	1001.00	1001.00	20.92	3.08
hawk_88	103.26	1001.00	542.86	43.34	3.21
Hellopplz	97.74	1001.00	533.71	63.84	3.59
Marcz	88.54	1001.00	405.98	62.25	3.68
dylsta05	71.05	NA	416.67	91.00	3.72
ossie85	192.31	1001.00	441.86	34.03	4.51
naste	221.45	NA	197.10	32.02	5.21
McRooster	205.18	NA	166.96	36.78	5.75
hawka26	1001.00	NA	55.78	8.66	13.75
BratPack	1001.00	NA	32.59	20.98	20.75
HillHero13	1001.00	NA	15.13	8.94	44.54
pyronerd	1001.00	NA	4.43	7.53	405.98
benjy251090	1001.00	NA	3.18	6.05	798.32
roo boys!	1001.00	NA	2.68	5.90	1001.00