The elephants in the room
These odds are based on actual mathematical simulations. For details on how these work, check out this article, written by nick_the_insane – the brilliant guy behind this system and The League’s esteemed editor. Remember, these odds will get more accurate as we get closer to the finals 
Premiership Odds
Dream Team
Junktimer is still flag favourite. However, his odds have fallen slightly – while MTTY cuts over $14 off his price and storms up the list. The punters have jumped off thornz23 after a disappointing round.
$7.96 – Junktimer (down from $6.58)
$8.41 – Prospector_1 (up from $8.46)
$8.84 – elephants (up from $10.34)
$9.57 – Marcz (down from $8.58)
$14.91 – MTTY (up from $29.09)
Falling outside the top 5 favourites:
$26.44 – thornz23 (down from $11.59)
SuperCoach
Similarly, reesbr is still SC favourite for the flag, but some strong scores have made him less of a certainty! Though not much else has changed in the SC landscape.
$8.39 – reesbr (down from $7.24)
$9.43 – Junktimer (down from $9.32)
$9.45 – MTTY (up from $12.17)
$10.02 – Barlow 21 (up from $15.14)
$16.21 – dylsta05 (down from $15.52)
Falling outside the top 5 favourites:
$19.02 – Marcz (down from $14.42)
$22.03 – Prospector_1 (down from $15.02)
Minor Premiership Odds
Dream Team
Elephants has stormed to minor premiership favouritism as he moves from 6th to 3rd on the actual ladder, while RobsOverAchieverrs is the big mover and shaker for the round. Flame’s strong start to the season is starting to simmer, as he loses his grip on top spot.
$3.74 – elephants (up from $7.04)
$4.71 – Prospector_1 (up from $7.31)
$5.54 – Marcz (down from $4.84)
$5.66 – Junktimer (down from $3.46)
$18.23 – RobsOverAchieverss (up from $44.58)
Falling outside the top 5 favourites:
$36.51 – Flame (down from $9.94)
SuperCoach
Fletch74 is the big mover here as he takes on top spot after Round 7. Premiership favourite reesbr’s odds of taking out the minor flag as well has also decreased.
$3.56 – Junktimer (down from $3.40)
$5.78 – MTTY (up from $8.27)
$8.61 – Barlow 21 (up from $23.74)
$8.69 – reesbr (down from $5.50)
$15.38 – Fletch74 (up from $36.15)
Falling outside the top 5 favourites:
$35.02 – Marcz (down from $13.82)
$26.03 – CrowsFan (down from $16.87)
Wooden Spoon Odds (after finals)
Dream Team
Despite a much stronger performance from Alex7089 this week, the bookies still feel he will take out the spoon, while MajorLazer’s disappointing round suddenly puts him into calculations.
$4.07 – Alex7089 (up from $4.15)
$6.00 – HillHero13 (down from $5.03)
$6.49 – bunyip (down from $6.44)
$8.11 – dylsta05 (up from $8.58)
$20.60 – MajorLazer (up from $52.78)
Falling outside the top 5 favourites:
$23.89 – 8-6 Suited (down from $10.52)
SuperCoach
hawka26 maintains his favouritism, though a stronger performance sees him loosen his grip on the wood (ahem).
$5.04 – hawka26 (down from $3.88)
$5.72 – roo boys! (up from $7.26)
$8.24 – ossie85 (up from $10.33)
$8.60 – pyronerd (up from $8.65)
$12.61 – Boomz (up from $15.55)
Wooden Spoon Odds (before finals)
Dream Team
8-6 Suited’s round-high score has seen him move from a $37 chance for the spoon to a $324 chance. The bookies believe this is the start of a new era.
$2.78 – Alex7089 (up from $2.84)
$3.49 – bunyip (up from $3.58)
$4.38 – dylsta05 (up from $7.23)
$12.12 – HillHero13 (down from $4.91)
$36.69 – MajorLazer (up from $52.78)
Falling outside the top 5 favourites:
$324.23 – 8-6 Suited (down from $37.64)
SuperCoach
roo boys! has surged into favouritism as he finds himself bottom of the ladder after 8 matches.
$2.52 – roo boys! (up from $5.21)
$4.56 – pyronerd (up from $4.61)
$5.76 – hawka26 (down from $2.06)
$8.25 – ossie85 (up from $21.08)
$14.32 – Boomz (up from $35.94)
Finals Odds
The odds of your team making the final 16 teams? This should give a lot of coaches, including myself, some hope. In addition, the complete list of all odds is below. Note:
NA – means that out of the 100,000 simulations, it did not happen once.
Certain – A bookies’ (not necessary real) certainty to happen.
If odds are greater than 1000-1, they are rounded to an even 1001.00.
Dream Team
| Coach | Premiership | Top | Spoon (bf) | Spoon (af) | Top 16 |
| Marcz |
9.57 |
5.54 |
1001.00 |
1001.00 |
Certain |
| elephants |
8.84 |
3.74 |
NA |
1001.00 |
Certain |
| Prospector_1 |
8.46 |
4.71 |
NA |
1001.00 |
Certain |
| Junktimer |
7.96 |
5.66 |
NA |
1001.00 |
Certain |
| RobsOverAchieverss |
16.39 |
18.23 |
NA |
1001.00 |
1.04 |
| McRooster |
20.41 |
29.20 |
1001.00 |
433.79 |
1.15 |
| CFC 1979 |
27.97 |
41.05 |
1001.00 |
307.44 |
1.18 |
| Flame |
22.23 |
36.51 |
1001.00 |
361.22 |
1.19 |
| MTTY |
14.91 |
91.88 |
1001.00 |
760.00 |
1.22 |
| Boomz |
22.00 |
57.79 |
1001.00 |
336.88 |
1.26 |
| naste |
31.32 |
119.95 |
1001.00 |
200.85 |
1.44 |
| chrisuzz |
43.06 |
255.38 |
1001.00 |
174.31 |
1.51 |
| browny_wce |
36.86 |
142.00 |
1001.00 |
146.83 |
1.51 |
| pyronerd |
36.89 |
228.92 |
1001.00 |
204.74 |
1.51 |
| valkorum |
28.96 |
245.48 |
1001.00 |
207.42 |
1.55 |
| thornz23 |
26.44 |
203.43 |
1001.00 |
200.00 |
1.57 |
| hawka26 |
33.46 |
181.30 |
1001.00 |
180.27 |
1.59 |
| ossie85 |
76.92 |
446.01 |
1001.00 |
85.66 |
1.87 |
| BratPack |
65.70 |
1001.00 |
633.33 |
93.97 |
2.61 |
| Cicjose |
115.29 |
650.68 |
285.29 |
39.75 |
2.62 |
| Hellopplz |
61.77 |
1001.00 |
320.95 |
84.22 |
2.80 |
| 8-6 Suited |
231.71 |
748.03 |
324.23 |
23.89 |
3.13 |
| reesbr |
160.74 |
1001.00 |
150.32 |
37.71 |
3.79 |
| benjy251090 |
350.55 |
1001.00 |
155.48 |
22.91 |
4.50 |
| Fletch74 |
357.14 |
1001.00 |
141.79 |
31.55 |
5.64 |
| korza |
219.91 |
1001.00 |
65.88 |
39.80 |
6.07 |
| MajorLazer |
669.01 |
1001.00 |
36.69 |
20.60 |
10.49 |
| DazBurg |
1001.00 |
NA |
49.10 |
29.08 |
16.39 |
| HillHero13 |
1001.00 |
1001.00 |
12.12 |
6.00 |
23.58 |
| dylsta05 |
1001.00 |
NA |
4.38 |
8.11 |
100.11 |
| Alex7089 |
1001.00 |
NA |
2.78 |
4.07 |
156.25 |
| bunyip | NA | NA |
3.49 |
6.49 |
1001.00 |
SuperCoach
| Coach | Premiership | Top | Spoon (bf) | Spoon (af) | Top 16 |
| Junktimer |
9.43 |
3.56 |
1001.00 |
1001.00 |
Certain |
| MTTY |
9.45 |
5.78 |
NA |
1001.00 |
Certain |
| reesbr |
8.39 |
8.69 |
1001.00 |
1001.00 |
1.03 |
| Barlow 21 |
10.02 |
8.61 |
1001.00 |
1001.00 |
1.05 |
| Fletch74 |
24.38 |
15.38 |
NA |
424.11 |
1.10 |
| hawk_88 |
24.00 |
20.95 |
1001.00 |
232.84 |
1.20 |
| CFC 1979 |
20.17 |
22.71 |
1001.00 |
239.90 |
1.24 |
| CrowsFan |
29.17 |
26.03 |
1001.00 |
183.75 |
1.25 |
| dylsta05 |
16.21 |
26.75 |
1001.00 |
308.44 |
1.25 |
| Marcz |
19.02 |
35.02 |
1001.00 |
221.96 |
1.34 |
| Prospector_1 |
22.03 |
98.14 |
1001.00 |
225.12 |
1.53 |
| Maca24 |
32.42 |
62.30 |
989.58 |
97.34 |
1.59 |
| DazBurg |
47.69 |
106.86 |
1001.00 |
78.13 |
1.70 |
| McRooster |
27.45 |
130.67 |
969.39 |
166.08 |
1.72 |
| Hellopplz |
31.99 |
161.02 |
1001.00 |
156.25 |
1.75 |
| HillHero13 |
51.27 |
158.07 |
940.59 |
74.51 |
1.82 |
| korza |
50.24 |
128.73 |
848.21 |
72.30 |
1.85 |
| Cruiseon |
37.11 |
120.25 |
347.99 |
79.83 |
1.92 |
| BratPack |
47.01 |
190.00 |
826.09 |
87.56 |
2.00 |
| naste |
56.35 |
140.74 |
424.11 |
58.28 |
2.09 |
| bomberboy0618/Luigi197 |
54.76 |
250.00 |
335.69 |
63.38 |
2.22 |
| MajorLazer |
60.01 |
155.74 |
251.32 |
47.17 |
2.32 |
| RobsOverAchieverss |
114.60 |
307.44 |
376.98 |
34.66 |
2.60 |
| BoredSaint |
115.29 |
180.95 |
176.25 |
23.38 |
2.70 |
| thornz23 |
193.09 |
791.67 |
435.78 |
29.21 |
3.21 |
| Alex7089 |
94.34 |
659.72 |
83.19 |
38.82 |
3.74 |
| benjy251090 |
456.73 |
1001.00 |
34.42 |
16.67 |
7.80 |
| Boomz |
1001.00 |
NA |
14.32 |
12.61 |
38.97 |
| ossie85 |
1001.00 |
1001.00 |
8.25 |
8.24 |
55.07 |
| hawka26 |
1001.00 |
NA |
5.76 |
5.04 |
63.16 |
| pyronerd |
1001.00 |
NA |
4.56 |
8.60 |
148.21 |
| roo boys! | NA | NA |
2.52 |
5.72 |
280.24 |
Alex7089
Barlow21
benjy251090
bomberboy0618
boredsaint
DazBurg
fletch74
hawka26
Hellopplz
hillhero13
junktimer
MajorLazer
RiOtChEsS
nas
MTTY
nicktheinsane
ossie85
Roo Boys!
valkorum
Elxam League 